ON MY RADAR: Politics 101- How Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì will win Ọ̀yọ́ State Governorship Election.
Considering the recent realignments that has been occurring in Ọ̀yọ́ State, Adebayo Adelabu stands the better chance of emerging the next governor of pace setter state. My reasons are:
(a) Kábíyèsí Aláàfin of Ọ̀yọ́ factor: Kábíyèsí has never hidden his love for APC, he has been campaigning openly for the party for a very long time. Besides this, his son, a prince just won his reelection into the House of Representative and with the overwhelming support the party is enjoying in the Ọ̀yọ́ kingdom, other party will be coming second, third and so on.
(b) Alao Akala's factor: Hate him or love him, gomina wàsórí-wàsọrùn is loved by his people in the Ogbomọsọ axis of the state and his people followed him wherever he goes politically. This can be attested to in the just concluded #NigeriaDecides2019, Akala dictates what happens in Ogbomọsọ and if you underrate him in this regard, you are doing so at your own peril politically and that's why the national leader of @OfficialAPCNg swung into action to bring him back to the APC fold. In a nutshell, Akala is delivering his base to APC.
(c) Division within the opposition camps: While there were moves to join forces against the ruling APC in the state, many were not happy with the way the merger was handled and the implications are that many of the opposition groups have backed out of the merger and have joined the #Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì train.
(d) Return of the Lamists: The supporters of the late governor of the state, Late Lamidi Adeshina known as LAMISTS have returned to the APC burying their hatchet with the party in order to work for the success of #Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì.
(e) The Return of the Aggrieved members from other parties back into the APC: During the party primaries in Ọ̀yọ́ State that produced all candidates for elective positions, many that were cheated left for parties like ADC, ADP, AP & others but with the intervention of the party elders locally and nationally many are now back in APC to work for Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì.
(f) National Assembly Election Results factor: Considering the outing of APC in Ọ̀yọ́ State as regards the number of Senator and the members of the House of Representatives won by the party, it is safe to say that the party still enjoys a huge following in the state having won two (2) out of the three senate seats, nine 9⃣ out of the fourteen (14) house of representatives seats, by this calculation, the party is still on ground.
(g) Presidential election result in Ọ̀yọ́ State: If you look at the results recorded by the two leading parties in the state, it was one of the closest because the winning margin was one thousand plus (1000+). With this number, we can clearly see that it was close to call, or let's say it was neck and neck. The result will energize APC to work more being the ruling party in the state.
(h) Other factors remains constant.
Finally, Ìbàdàn municipal votes will be shared by the leading candidates while Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì would made a good and big showing in the other places I mentioned earlier.
(a) Kábíyèsí Aláàfin of Ọ̀yọ́ factor: Kábíyèsí has never hidden his love for APC, he has been campaigning openly for the party for a very long time. Besides this, his son, a prince just won his reelection into the House of Representative and with the overwhelming support the party is enjoying in the Ọ̀yọ́ kingdom, other party will be coming second, third and so on.
(b) Alao Akala's factor: Hate him or love him, gomina wàsórí-wàsọrùn is loved by his people in the Ogbomọsọ axis of the state and his people followed him wherever he goes politically. This can be attested to in the just concluded #NigeriaDecides2019, Akala dictates what happens in Ogbomọsọ and if you underrate him in this regard, you are doing so at your own peril politically and that's why the national leader of @OfficialAPCNg swung into action to bring him back to the APC fold. In a nutshell, Akala is delivering his base to APC.
(c) Division within the opposition camps: While there were moves to join forces against the ruling APC in the state, many were not happy with the way the merger was handled and the implications are that many of the opposition groups have backed out of the merger and have joined the #Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì train.
(d) Return of the Lamists: The supporters of the late governor of the state, Late Lamidi Adeshina known as LAMISTS have returned to the APC burying their hatchet with the party in order to work for the success of #Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì.
(e) The Return of the Aggrieved members from other parties back into the APC: During the party primaries in Ọ̀yọ́ State that produced all candidates for elective positions, many that were cheated left for parties like ADC, ADP, AP & others but with the intervention of the party elders locally and nationally many are now back in APC to work for Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì.
(f) National Assembly Election Results factor: Considering the outing of APC in Ọ̀yọ́ State as regards the number of Senator and the members of the House of Representatives won by the party, it is safe to say that the party still enjoys a huge following in the state having won two (2) out of the three senate seats, nine 9⃣ out of the fourteen (14) house of representatives seats, by this calculation, the party is still on ground.
(g) Presidential election result in Ọ̀yọ́ State: If you look at the results recorded by the two leading parties in the state, it was one of the closest because the winning margin was one thousand plus (1000+). With this number, we can clearly see that it was close to call, or let's say it was neck and neck. The result will energize APC to work more being the ruling party in the state.
(h) Other factors remains constant.
Finally, Ìbàdàn municipal votes will be shared by the leading candidates while Pẹnkẹlẹmẹ́ẹ̀sì would made a good and big showing in the other places I mentioned earlier.
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